{"id":1379,"date":"2020-04-14T19:42:27","date_gmt":"2020-04-14T23:42:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pappost.com\/?p=1379"},"modified":"2020-04-14T19:43:03","modified_gmt":"2020-04-14T23:43:03","slug":"coronavirus-infographie-de-la-repartition-des-cas-suspects-en-haiti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pappost.com\/index.php\/2020\/04\/14\/coronavirus-infographie-de-la-repartition-des-cas-suspects-en-haiti\/","title":{"rendered":"Coronavirus : infographie de la r\u00e9partition des cas suspects en Ha\u00efti"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong><em>La r\u00e9daction<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Le 12 avril 2020, le Minist\u00e8re de la Sant\u00e9 Publique et de la Population (MSPP) a publi\u00e9 un \u00e9ni\u00e8me num\u00e9ro du document d\u00e9taillant l&#8217;\u00e9volution du Covid-19 en Ha\u00efti (SITREP). Si des r\u00e9serves l\u00e9gitimes sont \u00e9mises sur la repr\u00e9sentativit\u00e9 des tests r\u00e9alis\u00e9s (425 seulement) par le Laboratoire National, il n&#8217;en demeure pas moins que les donn\u00e9es statistiques contenues dans le SITREP, quoique lacunaires, peuvent constituer une mine pr\u00e9cieuse d&#8217;indications pour celles et ceux qui aimeraient bien s&#8217;adonner \u00e0 certaines extrapolations. Par exemple, m\u00eame si l&#8217;exercice d&#8217;extrapolation se r\u00e9v\u00e8le plus complexe du lieu du connaisseur, avoir 40 cas confirm\u00e9s sur 425 tests r\u00e9alis\u00e9s accuse un taux de contamination autour de 10% (9,41% pour \u00eatre pr\u00e9cis). C&#8217;est vraiment quelque chose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"480\" height=\"226\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pappost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/ezgif.com-video-to-gif-1-1.gif?resize=480%2C226&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1050\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Si cette tendance se maintient, quand on se r\u00e9f\u00e8re \u00e0 notre incapacit\u00e9 actuelle de faire des tests massifs, les plus sceptiques qui iront jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 extrapoler sur la contamination probable des 10% de la population ne sont pas forc\u00e9ment \u00e0 clouer au pilori. Ceci \u00e9tant dit, malgr\u00e9 ses limites, le SITREP est un document important qui m\u00e9rite d&#8217;\u00e9tre scrut\u00e9, d\u00e9cortiqu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Il est plus qu&#8217;\u00e9vident que d&#8217;aucuns se focaliseront sur ces deux variables principales : le nombre des cas confirm\u00e9s et celui des d\u00e9c\u00e8s. Par ailleurs, c&#8217;est le silence radio sur le tableau de r\u00e9partition \u00e0 partir du crit\u00e8re d&#8217;\u00e2ge, du sexe etc. C&#8217;est une preuve sans \u00e9quivoque de notre m\u00e9pris pour les statistiques, outil indispensable pour mesurer ce qui est (le fait, dans une d\u00e9marche positiviste) et \u00e9tablir des pr\u00e9visions, faire des anticipations (sur l&#8217;avenir).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Avec 40 cas confirm\u00e9s sur toute l&#8217;\u00e9tendue du territoire, tout semble \u00e9voluer avec une relative lenteur. Cependant, il faut se m\u00e9fier des apparences. Aux derni\u00e8res nouvelles, des gens ayant \u00e9t\u00e9 en contact avec le Belge, le premier cas de contamination en Ha\u00efti, viennent tout juste d&#8217;\u00eatre test\u00e9s positifs. C&#8217;est quelque chose, vu que \u00e7a fait au moins 28 \u00e0 29 jours d&#8217;intervalle. D&#8217;o\u00f9 l&#8217;int\u00e9r\u00eat accord\u00e9 par Port-au-Prince Post aux cas suspects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Rappelons, tout au moins, qu&#8217;un cas suspect ne se r\u00e9v\u00e8lera pas n\u00e9cessairement positif au coronavirus. Cependant, c&#8217;est une possibilit\u00e9 des plus vraisemblables. En ce sens, pour tout cas suspect, la mise en quarantaine la plus <strong>stricte<\/strong> est requise, pour parer \u00e0 toute \u00e9ventualit\u00e9 de contamination des autres, au cas o\u00f9 il se r\u00e9v\u00e8lerait positif apr\u00e8s test.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Cette infographie pr\u00e9sente la r\u00e9partition des 439 cas suspects sur l&#8217;\u00e9tendue du territoire national. Tir\u00e9e du SIT REP publi\u00e9 par le MSPP le 12 avril 2020, elle est cetainement sujette \u00e0 \u00e9volution permanente. Appr\u00e9ciez :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"639\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pappost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/IMG-20200414-WA0080.jpg?resize=640%2C639&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1380\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pappost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/IMG-20200414-WA0080.jpg?resize=1024%2C1022&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pappost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/IMG-20200414-WA0080.jpg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pappost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/IMG-20200414-WA0080.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pappost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/IMG-20200414-WA0080.jpg?resize=768%2C767&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pappost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/IMG-20200414-WA0080.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><figcaption>\u00a9 Port-au-Prince Post<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La r\u00e9daction Le 12 avril 2020, le Minist\u00e8re de la Sant\u00e9 Publique et de la&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1380,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[6,32],"tags":[58,33],"class_list":["post-1379","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-sante","tag-coronavirus","tag-haiti"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Coronavirus : infographie de la r\u00e9partition des cas suspects en Ha\u00efti - 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